The impact of Climate Change will be influenced by the volume of greenhouse gas emissions. There are four different emission scenarios known as Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). Each RCP represents a different emissions scenario of increasing severity, based on a wide range of assumptions, as adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
The RCPs used within this report represent the following scenarios:
RCP2.6 strongly reduced greenhouse gas emissions, compatible with aims to limit global
temperature rise to 1.5°C, and well below 2°C, by 2050 (Paris Agreement).
RCP4.5 mid-range scenario, where emissions are reduced to some extent, leading to a best
estimate global temperature rise of between 2-3°C by 2100. The current likely scenario.
RCP8.5 a ‘business as usual’ scenario, where emissions continue to rise throughout the century,
leading to a best estimate global temperature rise of 4.3°C by 2100.
Where appropriate within this report, we have used the mid-range emission scenario (RCP 4.5) to
give a projected climate change risk for the Property, however we do include data for additional
RCPs should you find it useful.